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Low Option Implied Volatility Levels

Posted by Trader Kirk on November 1st, 2010

Implied volatility for options traders can give you a good idea of the market sentiment…

When there is low implied volatility (generally readings under 20%) we can assume that investors are over confident in the markets and that they are not protecting themselves from risk.

NYSE Summation Index Chart Signals Top

Posted by Trader Kirk on November 1st, 2010

Once again the NYSE Summation Index Chart is signalling a top in the markets via the bearish cross. Below I’ve highlighted all the most recent times the NYSE Summation Index has given this bearish cross – all but 1 of the past 6 have been major short term tops in the market.

Click to enlarge this great technical indicator.

The financial sector (XLF) has not participated in the current rally at all. In fact both the 3 month and 1 month performance have the financials lagging other sectors:

This doesn’t speak well of the strength of this rally. The chart of the XLF SPDR ETF also is pretty poor looking…

Low Volatility Options Trading Strategies

Posted by Trader Kirk on November 1st, 2010

What are some low volatility options trading strategies you can use?

OIH? – Oil Service HOLDRs (ETF)

Posted by Trader Kirk on November 1st, 2010

The OIH Oil Service Holdrs ETF is sporting a very classic retracement on it’s chart coupled with declining volume during this past rally. Take note of the fact that it’s hit the same trendline nearly 3 times in the past.

You hear about “low risk trades” all the time…well, here’s a great low risk SHORT trade or PUT trade!

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S&P 500 Kiss of Death Retracement

Posted by Trader Kirk on October 25th, 2010

We talked about the S&P 500 making a kiss of death type retracement on the Facebook page yesterday. Honestly I didn't think it would happen as fast as it did.

The kiss of death retracement is the last rally after breaking a major trendline. In this case it's the intra-day trendline so it won't hold much influence other than the next few days as a swing trade.

Barron's Investor Sentiment Readings

Posted by Trader Kirk on October 25th, 2010

Here's a quick look at Barron's investor sentiment readings they gather each week. Bullishness is still running ramped.

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