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The State of Oil Volatility

Posted by Know Your Options on March 14th, 2011

I highlighted the initial Libya induced race into oil options about three weeks ago in And You Thought Egypt Moved Oil. After mentioning the elevated state of the “Oil VIX” and the steepness of the volatility skew in March options, I concluded:

While we may yet see a further increase in both oil and implied vol, I suspect the time to fade is looming closely on the horizon.

Rotating Sectors

Posted by Know Your Options on March 3rd, 2011

When it comes to trade discovery, many viable approaches exist. Some traders clinging to the notion that strength begets strength tend to focus on seeking out both sectors and individual securities which have recently outperformed the broader market.

Volatility Strategies

Posted by Know Your Options on March 1st, 2011

While some individuals venture into the options mart to express a directional bias they possess on a particular security, they usually pickup some exposure to volatility along the way. Like white on rice, fluctuations in volatility are an integral part of option pricing. It just comes with the territory. Option players, whether they like it or not, are also expressing a bias on volatility.

Tickers:
N/A
Tags:
Investment Ideas

Achieving Creative Flow

Posted by Know Your Options on February 25th, 2011

I recently had the opportunity to dive into Michael Bigger’s e-book How Traders Achieve Creative Flow.

Tickers:
N/A
Tags:
Investment Ideas

February VIX Settlement

Posted by Know Your Options on February 16th, 2011

February VIX options and futures expired this morning with the settlement value coming in at 16.49. While I normally post my volatility thoughts a week or so before expiration, I avoided doing so this go around primarily because I didn't see anything interesting. If I fail to discern an edge in any environment I don't mind being the first to park myself on the sidelines.

Tickers:
N/A
Tags:
Investment Ideas, VIX

The Timely 50 MA

Posted by Know Your Options on February 15th, 2011

Long time readers should recall the trio of posts I revealed last July regarding the effectiveness of using the 50 day moving average on the SPY to generate timely buy and sell signals for intermediate trend reversals.

What Egypt Unrest?

Posted by Know Your Options on February 14th, 2011

Now that two weeks have passed since Egypt’s civil unrest really started to gain traction as a catalyst in the commodities arena, oil has returned to the scene of the crime. The initial rally in crude from $85 to $93 served as yet another example that geopolitical risk is still a major factor influencing oil prices.

Tickers:
USO
Tags:
Investment Ideas, USO

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