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The Fed and Commodities

Posted by Intspeculator on April 27th, 2008

The market is expecting the Fed to cut its key interest rate by a quarter-percentage point next week and then signal that it is finished cutting rates for the time being. However, I think the best action would be to leave the interest rate unchanged. This would help deter some of the rampant speculation that has been driving commodities to record levels.

Should You Short Stocks

Posted by Intspeculator on April 13th, 2008

If you are an experienced investor shorting stocks should be part of your investment strategy. Shorting allows you to profit when a stock goes down in price. In a declining market, such as the current one, it is a lot easier to make money shorting stocks than buying stocks.

Financial companies have seen severe declines over the past year and they still have the potential to go down a lot further. The reason financial companies are on such shaky ground is because the risk of rising foreclosures and loan defaults has resulted in a really severe credit crisis.

Tickers:
N/A
Tags:
, stock market

BAC Cover Recommendation

Posted by Intspeculator on March 17th, 2008

Bank of America is down moderately since my initial short recommendation and I think now would be a good time to cover and take the gain off the table. I still think financial companies are going to see further weakness but they will most likely rally tomorrow when the Fed cuts interest rates.

Wall Street pundits are saying the Fed should lower interest rates by a full point at its next meeting. I think such a rash decision would be unwise and the Fed should actually think about keeping interest rates the same or lowering interest rates by a more modest amount, 0.50 at the most.

Tickers:
FED
Tags:
, interest rates, Fed

Greed, Fear, and Greater Fools

Posted by Intspeculator on March 6th, 2008

I came across Converted Organics on a day trading stock blog a few weeks ago and I have been following the stock out of curiosity. The stock price of Converted Organics has risen from around two dollars to the current price of $16.59 in the past half year. I am not sure what initially caused the stock price to surge but the stock price has continued to go up on sheer speculation.

Want A Risk Free 8% Return?

Posted by Intspeculator on March 3rd, 2008

A few months ago I wrote a post about a relatively risk free 14% return you could get in Covad Communications. Covad Communications is being acquired by Platinum Equity in an all cash deal at $1.02 a share and the stock price of Covad Communications was only $0.88 at the time.

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