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Euro Traders Waiting for More News

Posted by Futureshound on January 3rd, 2011

Despite settling into a small range during the month of December following a sharp break from 1.4263 to 1.2955 during November, the March Euro still remains vulnerable to additional downside pressure.

Equity investors are looking at the long side of the market this morning as friendly talk out of Europe regarding the Irish debt crisis is renewing interest in risky assets.

The December E-mini S&P 500 is trading in a narrow range overnight after Irish debt worries dragged down the market on Tuesday. Traders seem to be waiting for news from Brussels where officials from the European Union, International Monetary Fund and European Central Bank are meeting to come up with a solution for the country’s continuing banking sector risks.

The shedding of risky assets put downside pressure on the December E-mini S&P 500 this week, leading to the formation of a closing price reversal top. This pattern often leads to the start of a 2 to 3 week break of about 50% of the last rally. A move through 1191.50 is needed to confirm the reversal top; otherwise it could go into sideways mode.

The December E-mini S&P 500 finished lower on Thursday on light volume in a holiday driven trade. This market did make an attempt to sell-off but failed to even take out Thursday’s low at 1201.75 before selling pressure subsided.

E-mini S&P 500 Could Test 1196.25

Posted by Futureshound on November 11th, 2010

Downside pressure continued to mount on the December E-mini S&P 500 overnight as traders continued to shed risky assets amid speculation of debt woes in the Euro Zone. Without major economic releases to follow and a Treasury Bond market to lean on because of the U.S. Veteran’s Day holiday, thin market conditions and low volume could lead to volatility.

U.S. stock index futures traded sideways to lower on Wednesday after confirming Tuesday’s closing price reversal tops. The topping pattern that may be developing usually leads to a minimum 2 to 3 day break equal to 50% of the last rally.

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