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Much has been made about investors turning on the equity buying spigot since the beginning of the year. As the chart in this article shows, however, investors appear to be allocating as much of their investment dollars to bonds as they are to stocks. As noted in earlier posts, this allocation decision seems to be based on investors redeploying cash that was held taken out of the market in the run up to the presidential election and the fiscal cliff....

The secular decline in interest rates since 1981 has resulted in bond investors enjoying a thirty year bull market run in most fixed income investments. Since the price of a bond moves inversely to the move in interest rates, the declining rate (and rising bond price) environment is the only investment environment experienced by many baby boomers during their peak investing years. This declining rate period can best be shown by the long term chart of the yield on the 10-year treasury bond....

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In spite of the strong market advance from its low in mid November, post election year markets have experienced their largest decline from the market's prior year close. In a recent report by Standard and Poor's, they note,

"Since 1900, the S&P 500 recorded its deepest median YTD decline during the first year of the four-year presidential cycle at -12% versus declines of 11%, 3% and 4% for years 2, 3, and 4, respectively."

Last week I posted part one of Consuelo Mack's WealthTrack interview with Ed Hyman of ISI Group and Dennis Stattman of Blackrock. This post features part two of the interview and contains an interesting discussion on market opportunities outside the U.S. Dennis Stattman has a very bullish view on Japan and believes it is a result of the recent landslide victory for the LDP while Ed is bullish on China.

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