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Two Short Term Scenarios for the S&P 500 Index
Posted by Crude Oil Trader on February 14th, 2012

For the first time since the last week of December of 2011, the S&P 500 Index closed lower on the weekly chart. Recently I have been discussing the overbought nature of stocks based on a variety of indicators. However, the real question that should be asked is whether last week was just a short term event or if we see sustained selling in coming weeks.

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Investment Ideas, dollar, index, Greece, sp 500, chris vermeulen, eurozone, J.W. Jones

Is The Double Top in For Crude Oil?
Posted by Crude Oil Trader on February 3rd, 2012

Only our longer term monthly Trade Triangle for crude oil remains positive on this market. The move today below the $98 support level puts this market in jeopardy of further weakness. A close below the $93.50 level seen on December 18th would confirm a double top pivot point formation, which would measure down to the $84 a barrel level.

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GOLD
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Investment Ideas, gold, bullish, crude oil, bearish, trade triangle, technical advantage

The Long Term Bull Market "E" Wave Count
Posted by Crude Oil Trader on January 30th, 2012

I have to be honest that I am grappling with a few possible counts since the March 2009 Bull market commenced in terms of the big picture.

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Investment Ideas, dollar, crude oil, elliot wave, David Banister, Market Trend Forecast

The Fed, the S&P 500, & Why Gold Is Shining Bright
Posted by Crude Oil Trader on January 27th, 2012

I have scanned through my list of indicators which discuss sentiment based on momentum, put/call ratio, the advance/decline line, Bullish Percent Indicators, and several ratio based indicators and they are all SCREAMING that a top is near.

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GLD | SPY
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Investment Ideas, dollar, federal reserve, SPY, GLD, gold trading, chris vermeulen, J.W. Jones, DOW Trading, Federal Reserve Trading, spx trading

Gold Appears to Break Out of it's Down Trend
Posted by Crude Oil Trader on January 26th, 2012

The stock markets had a very solid session. Most charts shot higher after Apple beat estimates Tuesday night surging over 10%. This set the tone for stocks Wednesday. Also the FOMC said they would keep interest rates low until mid 2014 and projected a 2% inflation rate which took the market by surprise.

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Investment Ideas, gold trading, gold newsletter, silver newsletter, silver trading, Gold Chart Trading, Silver Chart Trading

The Dollar, Weak Earnings Indicate a Top is Near For The S&P 500
Posted by Crude Oil Trader on January 17th, 2012

Can we still look to the financials to guide us on market movements?

Earnings season is now upon us and so far the only major earnings component that has been released is the J.P. Morgan earnings report that came in Friday before the market opened. After the report was digested by the marketplace, prices fell dramatically.

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SPY | USO | XLF
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, dollar, bank of america, SPY, xlf, USO, crude oil, natural gas, jp morgan, risk, sp 500, J.W. Jones

Could Crude Oil Prices Intensify a Pending SP 500 Selloff?
Posted by Crude Oil Trader on January 8th, 2012

Last week we received reports that the unemployment rate in the United States was improving markedly. In addition, sentiment numbers were released that confirmed my previous speculation that market participants were becoming more and more bullish as prices in the S&P 500 edged higher.

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Investment Ideas, options, iran, crude oil, Straits of Hormuz, J.W. Jones

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