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10 Reasons To Short China

Posted by alsosprachanalyst on April 20th, 2011

Here are the 10 big reasons why you should short China

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China will be overheating, but sometimes the government seem to be not quite sure if they want a bigger fire or a smaller.

If China wants to learn a lesson from Paul Volcker in how to bring inflation down, perhaps they are left with only one terrible option: recession.

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It might feel very good for people who have home in a real estate bubble. But the bursting of it is very lethal, as they almost invariably caused recession and worse still, banking crisis. And when a banking crisis does occur, it is hard for the economy to regain full strength. Why? Why the self-correcting mechanism of market economy fails spectacularly in real estate market?

Re-balancing the world economy?

Posted by alsosprachanalyst on October 22nd, 2010

Tim Geithner proposed current account balance targeting. But again, this is not solving the real problem. In fact, I think this sounds more like a joke: if every country stop trading with each other, the current account balance will all converge to zero. Happy?

The simple answer to why the trade deficit is so high in the United States is that both the private and public sectors are spending too much and saving too little.

Hong Kong has the most volatile property market in the world. Why? The currency peg is the root of the evil.

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