Once again, the major stock indexes have found a low by the noon hour and then floated higher into the afternoon. Nearly everyday we see the same pattern repeat over and over. The trading volume remains extremely light which generally favors the upside in the stock market. Traders must remember the old market adage that states, never short a dull market.
Once again, the inverse relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index and the major stock indexes works. This morning, the U.S. Dollar Index futures started the day higher and then just plummeted before the opening bell. This same pattern played out yesterday and the nearly everyday before that.
Sometimes it is scary to see manipulation in full swing in the stock market. Actually, it is always scary to think such blatant manipulation can occur and by the leading powers in the "free" world. Let's set the stage. The markets opened slightly lower. No big deal here. They slowly inched lower on light volume, heading for the master support of $133.80 on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY).
As the market trades near 52 week and multi year highs, the media continues to pump an economic recovery that has every retail investor turning into a bull. Strange and scary coincidences are emerging in comparison to previous market mega drops. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) is trading at $134.21, -0.36 (-0.27%).
The markets are rallying today on the back of China's official Purchasing Managers' Index. This economic number came in better than expected and has the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEAMEX:SPY) trading at $132.71, +1.39 (+1.06%). The markets are still stuck below the master resistance level of $133.30 on the SPY. This level represents major resistance on the markets.
Nearly every trading day the major stock indexes will decline before the noon hour. This decline in the major stock market indexes usually leads to a light volume rally that lasts into the close. For example, yesterday the major stock indexes dropped sharply lower at the open only to find a low after the first hour and trade basically unchanged by the closing bell.
Nearly every trading session over the past month the major stock indexes rally after an initial morning decline. Some investors may view this action in the market as a sign of strength, however, the trading volume remains extremely light. Light volume will usually indicate a lack of institutional participation, or conviction by the big boys.
These days the trading volume is extremely light. The three month average trading volume on the SPDR S&P 500 Index (NYSE:SPY) is around 202 million shares a day. The trading volume on the SPY since December 19, 2012 has been around 125 million shares a day.
After the new year started with a substantial rally, the markets have been in sleep mode. Two consecutive days of flat action has the pros salivating over the likelihood of further upside. Today, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY) is trading at $127.56, -0.07 (-0.05%). Let's explore the bullish case on the market.
