Why Today’s Weak Durable Goods Numbers Foreshadow Low Confidence
Consumers appear to be holding back on buying non-essential goods, and this could impact the economic recovery.
Why Government Bailouts Actually Lower GDP Growth Potential
Shale Gas Changing ‘Market Paradigm’ in U.S. as Electricity Prices Plummet, Report Says
The shape of this economic recovery will not be in a “V”, as many pundits have promulgated, but instead may be the inversion of that letter…which will unfortunately look much more like a tepee. The upcoming downfall will surprise most investors who have been tricked into believing that a government can print and spend their way into prosperity.
Panics, recessions, and depressions. Which one is this?
Throughout time, the markets have gone through ups, downs, peaks, valleys, highs and lows. Mark Twain said, "History does not repeat exactly, however, often it rhymes." This bear market, which began on October 11, 2008, is now being compared to the 1929 stock crash, which consequentially lead to the great depression.
Considering the Impact of Other Black Swan Events on the SP 500 Since 1982
Black Swans are large impact, hard to predict rare events beyond the realm of normal expectations based on experiential knowledge. Truly, there have only been two black swan event of that proportion in the past 26 years - and that was the stock market crash in 1987 and (at least for us Americans isolated by two oceans) was the collapse of World Trade Center in September 2001.