This afternoon, leading aluminum producer Alcoa Corp (NYSE:AA) will report earnings after the closing bell. While Alcoa may not move the major stocks indexes much, it is an indication that the start of corporate earnings season is upon us. The trading volume over the past couple of weeks has been extremely light.
The technology heavy NASDAQ Composite has held up better than the other major stock indexes such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 Index and the Russell 2000. As long as the NASDAQ Composite holds up and does not breakdown, this tells us that people are still willing to take on risk. Please remember, most stocks in the NASDAQ Composite do not issue dividends.
In order for the stock market to rally or trade higher the U.S. Dollar Index has to decline. This has been proven repeatedly over the past ten years. Traders can simply look at an intra-day chart of the U.S. Dollar Index and see how quickly the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:DIA) will deflate and trade lower as soon as the U.S. Dollar Index catches a bid higher.
Once the U.S. Dollar Index futures (DX U1) traded higher this afternoon the major stock indexes sold off. The Dow Jones Industrial Average just reversed a 70.0 point rally and are now trading in negative territory. Should the U.S. Dollar Index decline and sell off again the major stock indexes could reverse and move right back up.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average(DJIA) and the rest of the major stock indexes are having one of the steepest one day declines since the May 6, 2010 flash crash. At this time, there are many selling signals that have triggered. Everyone is talking about the big head and shoulders top pattern that triggered two days ago on the daily chart.
Just when you thought it was safe to trade the markets, it reverses lower. This morning, many traders and investors in the financial media were right back into the risk on mode. The popular peoples index, called the Dow Jones Industrial Average, traded higher by 150.00 points at 11:20 am EST.
Weekly Wrap-Up, It's Only a 55-Point Drop You Wimps!
That’s right, I said WIMPS!
I have never heard so much whining and crying and complaining about a market drop as I have the past few weeks. Last week, I pointed out that we had only fallen 105 points from the prior week (10,172 to 10,067) and this week we fell ALL THE WAY to 10,012 to finish the week and you would think the world was ending (again) from the way the MSM has been acting.
After reading a lot of blog posts, tweets on twitter, Facebook comments, and emails, I decided it was time to figure out the real decay behind the leveraged ETF's, both long and short. As I wrote about this in one of my previous blog posts, I wanted to revisit this issue of the double and triple leveraged ETF's, and why investor's should stay away from them, and to clear up some confusion.
Alternate Short Strategy: Purchasing Put Protection for Less Part 3
The news is saturated with Hank Paulson’s $700 bailout plan. This is diverting attention away from the increasingly bleak outlook for the wider economy.
Rick Pendergraft says no bailout can immediately solve the problems in the housing market. And all indicators suggest these will run well into 2009 at least.