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September Treasury Bonds posted a loss on Friday, most likely tied to profit-taking ahead of the long holiday week-end and the lack of selling pressure on the equities. Friday’s action appears to be just a temporary slow down in the trend. The weakening economy is likely to continue to underpin the Treasuries.

Falling Treasury yields are boosting both September Treasury Bonds and Treasury Notes overnight as fear that the global economic recovery could be dead is driving investors to seek shelter in so-called safer assets.

T-Bonds are trading weaker this morning because of the firming equity markets and the $21 billion U.S. Treasury debt sale. There is also rising speculation that the Fed may be preparing to raise interest rates. On June 7th, Fed Chairman Bernanke said the Fed will hike before the economy returns to full employment.

After building a support base throughout the day while reacting to the sideways trade in the equity markets, September Treasury Bonds mounted a strong rally late in the session, indicating that they may be poised to launch the start of another leg higher.

Flight-to-safety buying drove June Treasury Bonds sharply higher. Thursday morning’s trading action took out the recent high at 124’16. Upside momentum seemed to be indicating that another surge was likely. The move in the T-Bonds looks more reactionary than speculative with investors taking their cues from the falling equity markets.

June Treasury Bonds are trading sharply lower this morning. The newly proposed sweeping-aid package for the Euro Zone is helping to support the Euro and drive up demand for riskier assets. This is triggering a liquidation break in the Treasury futures markets. Last week nervous traders bought Treasury Bonds and Treasury Notes for protection in a flight-to-safety rally.

June Treasury Bonds closed sharply higher as equity markets collapsed and demand for safer assets increased. The rally early in the trading session sent yields plunging while triggering a breakout over the last main top at 121’05. T-Bonds began to break from the 121’14 high near the mid-session after triggering stops above the last main top at 121’05.

US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is due in China for talks with Vice-Premier Wang Qishan to discuss a long-running dispute over the yuan.

In light of the number of manufacturing and goods producing jobs lost in America over the past decade, it’s no wonder why many in Washington and on Main St. are clamoring for a trade and currency war with China. The raucous has grown so loud that Congress, Treasury and the Commerce department may soon be forced to declare China a currency manipulator.

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