This morning, the precious metals are trading sharply higher. The catalyst for the advance in gold, and silver is the weaker U.S. Dollar Index, and the pledge by central banks to keep easy money available. Last night, the People Bank of China (Chinese central bank) cut reserve requirements for lenders. This is just another example of easy credit.

Nearly everyday we hear about the problems in the Middle East with Iran. While there could be conflict with the oil producing nation; it is important to realize that this is not causing gasoline to increase in price. Gasoline has been steadily rising over the past four months and is now trading near a six month high.

Nearly everyday since December the media reports how good things are getting in the economy. This report was better than expected, that report is better than expected and everyone is working again. While the economy might be healing in some way investors must ask themselves why the Federal Reserve is continuing to promote low rates until late 2014.

The U.S. Dollar Index is still the driving force behind every commodity move. This morning, the U.S. Dollar Index futures (DX H2) are trading lower by 0.53 cents to $79.69 per contract. When the U.S. Dollar Index declines it will usually mean that most every commodity will trade higher.