This morning, after the U.S. Labor Department announced the disappointing non-farm payroll report gold started to surge higher. The catalyst for the rise in gold is the anticipation and speculation of another quantitative easing program by the Federal Reserve. Today, the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:GLD) are trading higher by more than $5.00 from the pre-market low to $155.49 a share.
The market is showing positive divergences in two major areas. These areas signal stimulus and possible bank recapitalization from the European Union and the ECB. Ultimately, the markets are signaling something big on the horizon that could cause the market to pop sharply in the short run.
The metal stocks continue to hold key support levels on their daily charts. Stocks like Goldcorp Inc. (USA) (NYSE:GG) and Silver Wheaton Corp. (USA) (NYSE:SLW) are into major support as shown in the chart below. These stocks have seen a dramatic decline in recent months as the Dollar has surged and gold and silver have fallen.
Members of my service as well as long time readers know that I do a lot of analysis based on the past. I am constantly looking at long term historical price charts and data. As a trader, I am always looking for an edge.
This afternoon, almost every major stock market index is trading lower on the session. Traders and investors are experiencing a very rare broad based decline. The one sector that is showing strength today is gold and the gold mining stocks. The SPDR Gold Trust (NYSEARCA:GLD) is actually trading higher by $1.88 to $161.25 a share.
This morning, most of the leading gold and gold mining indexes are trading higher to start the day. As you may know, the gold sector has been extremely weak since late February 2012. At that time, the highly popular SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:GLD) were trading as high as $174.00 a share. Today, the GLD is trading higher by $1.62 to $159.92 a share.
This afternoon, spot gold is surging higher by $27.00 to $1689.00 an ounce. The precious metal took off to the upside after the Ben Bernanke speech this morning which stated that the Federal Reserve would continue with further accommodating policies. Gold is one of the best indicators that inflation is being created.
The Current Account Balance measures the flow of goods and services, income, and transfer of payments going into and out of the United States. In short, the Current Account Balance shows the difference between a country's investments and savings.
The precious metals are taking another hard hit today as money is flowing out. Not only is the Dollar stronger but the risk on trade is all the rage. The PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (NYSEARCA:UUP) is trading at $22.41, +0.11 (+0.49%). When traders and investors feel the economy is on the right path, there is no need to hold gold for safety.