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Flight-to-safety buying could be the theme today if conditions continue to escalate in the Middle East, particularly Libya. Overnight the U.S. Dollar moved higher against most major currencies as turmoil in Libya triggered a surge in oil prices. Traders took protection by dumping risky assets and moving money into the Greenback.

December Crude Oil is trading higher this morning, boosted by the weaker U.S. Dollar and a surprise drop in reported inventories by the American Petroleum Institute.

The AUD USD closed higher for the week, but the pace of the rally was slowed by the rangebound trade in the U.S. equity markets. Some traders also feel the Aussie Dollar is overbought in the short-run while others believe that the expected 25 basis point hike in the benchmark interest rate by the Reserve Bank of Australia is already priced in. The RBA meets on October 5.

Bad Economic Data from Europe Sinks Stocks

Posted by Futureshound on September 23rd, 2010

Stocks weakened overnight after a report said Europe’s services and manufacturing industries weakened for a second month, igniting concern the region’s economic recovery might lose steam.

The USD JPY hit a key 50% price at 80.40 as forecast, triggering some light profit-taking. Although traders anticipate another round of intervention, there has been no notable central bank activity at this time. This could mean that aggressive traders will continue to push the Dollar/Yen lower into the next retracement level at 80.04.

The U.S. Dollar fell today on speculation that Fed Chairman Bernanke, during his speech on Friday before the central banker’s conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, will hint that the Federal Reserve could take further action to prop up the U.S. economy.

December Gold soared to the upside on Thursday following a sharp break in U.S. equity markets. Traders increased their long hedges in gold on the stock market weakness. As mentioned several times the past few weeks, gold (hard asset) and stocks (paper) are competing for the same investment Dollar. Gold has had a tendency to rally lately following sell-offs in the stock market.

The U.S. Dollar is under pressure overnight as traders throw their support into the Yen, Euro, Swiss Franc and the commodity-linked currencies. On-going concerns over a slowdown in global growth continue to be the main catalyst behind the selling pressure.

The U.S. Dollar fell sharply across the board on Thursday as trader demand for risky assets soared following a bullish economic report out of Europe last night.

The Euro rallied early, traded in a range then made a move to the upside in a lifeless trade on Thursday. Volume appeared to drop off throughout the day following the European Central Bank’s policy statement announcement shortly before the start of the New York session. For the most part, the Euro seemed to be taking its direction from the U.S. equity markets.

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