Tag: S&P 500Sort
One must ask themselves if this rally truly has substance, or if it is another news item rally. The short-term significance of today is the fact that the candle neutralized yesterday's loss. However, there is still a lot of ground for the bulls to recapture. This requires sustained positive catalysts and I don't see too many of them. What do we look out for over the weekend?...
During the neutral range, I was thinking to myself, "there are two options available for the market: 1) we form a long tedious rounded bottom, or 2) we form a very large bear continuation flag. #2 came really quick in the last hour. Over the weekend, I also stated that I had those two conditions that needed to be met.
We tested the lows for the $RUT, slightly for the $COMP, and not quite for the $SPX and $DJIA. The $VIX remains elevated, but the fear seems to be subsiding as it has not tested it's own highs (as of today). The indicator is still consolidating and a breakout is still possible as long as it hold the 20-day MA.
Inside the Numbers Redux; Why We (Likely) Still Haven’t Bottomed
Looking at 3-day charts, these daily patterns are not very bullish at all. We are closer to testing the Friday lows. Intra-day I made use of the fib retracement levels during the wedge's progression, another tool to keep yourself from panicking. The very long neutral range was especially problem due to false breakouts and breakdowns.
A reversal, then another reversal, and one final reversal in the last half-hour. If you can't handle this rollercoaster and adapt to the changing environment, then you shouldn't be trading. Also, to someone whom I will keep anonymous, you should not be trading if you fall asleep during the day with open positions...
I found exactly what I was looking for, even the increased spike in volume. This was no surprise to me as it was bound to happen. I am up 14% today and up 42% for the month so far and 3 out of 4 of my students are up over 10% today alone after joining me in killing the bears (at least for a day)...
We are dangerously close to testing the Oct lows, and I'm not kidding. It'll be tomorrow and I expect some sort of bounce here. There's too much support for a no-support slice through. I also expect considerable volatility as the bulls and bears fight for control on an important day. We should also see some increased volume levels. Tomorrow will mark the 4th time we test.
The average 1 day performance of the S&P on a Monday while in a down trend and after having completed a bullish range pivot is 12.6 times greater than the average 1 day performance of any random day. The average 1 day performance of the S&P on a Friday while in a down trend is 5 times worse than the average 1 day performance of any random day.