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The Bank of England surprised no one this morning when its Monetary Policy Committee voted to make no changes to its benchmark interest rate while leaving its quantitative-easing program unchanged.

As foretold on Monday, U.S. equity indices finished flat for the week. Although there were some sizeable swings triggered by news stories and speculation, for the most part, investors were not willing to take a position in front of next week’s Federal Open Market Committee Meeting.

The scenario for next week is simple in my opinion. Maximum liquidity is bullish.

Risk off the Table on New China Worries

Posted by Futureshound on October 12th, 2010

U.S. equity markets are trading lower this morning as traders take risk off the table amid concerns that China could move to cool its economy from overheating following yesterday’s move to increase the reserve requirement for six large commercial banks.

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The dollar dropped to a 15-year low against the yen and the weakest in eight months against the euro amid growing expectations the Federal Reserve will expand credit easing to sustain the U.S. recovery.

The September E-mini S&P 500 made another successful test of last week’s low at 1037.00, indicating either fresh buying by bottom pickers or fear over selling in the hole and getting trapped in a short-covering rally.

“Is the Fed Out of Bullets?

Posted by Futureshound on August 23rd, 2010

One debate that will go on this week centers on the Fed. One question traders are asking, “Is the Fed out of bullets?” All signs point out that the government’s stimulus plans as well as the Fed’s activity have done nothing to stimulate the economy. The housing market is bad despite mortgage rates below 5%. Unemployment is high and expected to rise.

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U.S. equity markets broke sharply late in the trading session following a bearish Durable goods report this morning and a gloomy outlook for the economy according to the Fed’s Beige Book.

The U.S. Dollar finished the day down against most major currencies with the exception of the Japanese Yen. Low volume ahead of Friday’s U.S. Employment report may have contributed to the weakness in the Dollar as traders threw their support into the higher-risk, commodity-linked currencies after the thinly traded equity markets posted strong gains.

The Euro continued its slide on Tuesday and signs are developing that indicate the problem is with the European Union and not the Euro. The market seems to be content with the weakness in the Euro. It’s the inability of the European Union to act as a cohesive unit that makes traders feel that a breakup may be coming.

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The GBP USD opened higher driven by spillover buying from the Euro, but by mid-session was trading well off its high. The initial rally was triggered by the possibility that the two major political parties - Labour and Conservative - were working together to map a plan for a balanced budget despite the possibility of a hung parliament.

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