The Japanese Yen weakened for a second session against all of the major currencies in a move that many traders suspect is renewed selling pressure from the Group of Seven nations. Following a downward spike on Thursday to 76.37, the G-7 was asked to intervene in an effort to curb the Yen’s appreciation and help support the devastated Japanese economy.
Euro Approaching Retracement Zone; Major Decisions have to be Made
With the Euro rapidly approaching the major retracement zone at 1.3577 to 1.3744, traders have to be asking themselves if overcoming this area means investors are betting on a rate hike by the European Central Bank or do they believe that Europe is overcoming its fiscal problems.
Dollar Falls against Most Majors; Risk appears to be Back On
The U.S. Dollar fell against most major currencies in overnight trading as investor appetite for risk increased while tensions over Irish debt issues eased. Pressure increased on the Dollar amid optimism that a bailout for Ireland will prevent contagion across the Euro region’s debt markets.
Gold, Silver Appear to Be Waiting for Euro to Breakout to Upside
The weaker U.S. Dollar overnight has put December Gold in a position to rally further following a strong surge overnight to $1362.00. Although the rally stopped short of the recent main top at $1366.00, upside momentum seems to be building. Traders appear to be waiting for the Euro to take out its last main top at 1.4028 before attempting to push this market through the resistance.
Lack of Buyers Drives Stocks Lower; May Be Start of Something Bigger
Aussie and Japanese Yen to be Main Focus Next Week
The Australian Dollar and the Japanese Yen are likely to be the main focus next week as both are expected to be big movers if the global equity markets expand to the upside as expected.
Money continued to flow out of T-Bonds and Gold which may be an indication that investors are gearing up for a stock market rally next week.
Risk Appears to be Back On Ahead of Next Week’s U.S. Employment Report
USD JPY Consolidating; Could be Setting Up for Rally
The USD JPY is consolidating inside the retracement zone created by the 84.73 to 86.37 range. This zone is 85.55 to 85.35. If the market can form a support base then look for it to make a run at the swing top at 86.37. Not only will a breakout over this level turn the main trend to up on the daily chart, but it will also confirm last week’s weekly closing price reversal bottom.
Stocks Called Flat; Counter-trend Rally May be Over
The September E-mini S&P 500 is trading flat to lower overnight. Last night’s range was inside of Tuesday’s range, indicating that traders are non-committal at this time. Yesterday’s rally was a follow-through move of Monday’s reversal bottom. This pattern usually leads to a 2 to 3 day rally equal to 50% of the last swing down.
“Hindenberg Omen” Could Be Fueling Stock Market Fears
The two-day pause in the break in the equity markets made me search for some missing factor which may be lurking in the charts. At this time, the break taking place from the 1127.75 level in the September E-mini S&P 500 appears to be a normal 50 – 62% correction of the 1002.75 to 1127.75 range.