Seven Keys in Timing this Stock Market Top – Part II
Timing stock market tops and bottoms is risky business and we all know the more the more risk we take the more potential gain would could also make. Correctly timing a top or bottom for any investment is flat out exciting not to mention financially rewarding. But this high risk trading tactic does come with some major issues which you must FULLY understand so that you can protect your capital and self-confidence.
Once again, the U.S. Dollar Index (DX-M2) is declining lower after the opening bell rings at the New York Stock Exchange. This happens very often when the major stock indexes are breaking lower. You see, when the dollar declines everything in the stock and commodity markets will inflate and trade higher. Just the opposite will happen when the U.S.
Nearly every trading session when the stock market is lower the U.S. Dollar Index is higher. Well, that is certainly the case once again today. This morning, the U.S. Dollar Index futures (DX-M2) are trading higher by 0.38 cents to $79.69 per contract. While 0.38 cents does not sound like much in the U.S. Dollar Index; it can move markets.
This afternoon, leading aluminum producer Alcoa Corp (NYSE:AA) will report earnings after the closing bell. While Alcoa may not move the major stocks indexes much, it is an indication that the start of corporate earnings season is upon us. The trading volume over the past couple of weeks has been extremely light.
This morning, all of the major stock indexes are surging higher at the open. The early rally is sparked by global central bank intervention, The central banks around the world will provide liquidity to the large banks that cannot borrow. We must all believe that the Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is behind this move.
This stock market will continue to dip and flip on a regular basis. The days of buy and hold seem to be long gone. Sometimes during the intra-day action the stock markets can have swings of 2 – 3 percent. This is a stock market for chart readers and not for the person that buys on economic data or price to earnings ratios.
Scalp trading or day trading is when a trader looks to catch small moves in the stock market within a single trading day. Day traders will usually hold a stock for a few seconds to a few hours within a trading session. This type of trading style is not for everyone, however, it does have its benefits as most scalp traders will not have the risk of holding a stock overnight.
When the stock markets get into serious trouble the Oracle of Omaha will come out of the woodwork to defend stocks. Once again, Warren Buffett just appeared on CNBC live from the New York Stock Exchange. Mr. Buffett said that he is buying stocks and is investing in the United States. The SPDR S&P 500 Index (NYSE:SPY) has climbed sharply off the lows.
When is the last time that the Federal Reserve said that they will keep rates low until 2013? This is certainly the most bizarre statement that we have ever heard from the central bank. Sure, the stock market likes low rates, however, when the Federal Reserve makes comments like this it starts to sound and look like Japan. The Japanese economy has gone nowhere in twenty years.