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Fed QE Plan Fuels Silver Rally

Posted by Futureshound on October 13th, 2010

December Silver soared on Wednesday as demand for higher yielding assets increased amid speculation the Fed was ready to implement its new quantitative easing plan.

The current leg up in this market was triggered by the news that many Fed members were in favor of large purchases of long-term government securities. This news came out via the Fed’s September minutes.

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The new calm that is working its way through the Euro Zone may have triggered a huge drop in the gold market and the subsequent rally in the Euro. Traders are saying this move was triggered by the unwinding of Euro-Gold spread trades which were placed when traders bought gold in Euros during the currency crisis.

The new calm that is working its way through the Euro Zone may have triggered a huge drop in the gold market and the subsequent rally in the Euro. Traders are saying this move was triggered by the unwinding of Euro-Gold spread trades which were placed when traders bought gold in Euros during the currency crisis.

U.S. equity markets rallied sharply higher on Thursday as tensions eased in the Euro Zone prompting investors to turn up demand for higher risk assets. The strong surge in the June E-mini S&P 500 negated Wednesday’s hard sell-off, triggering a rally through the minor retracement zone at 1074.50 to 1082.25.

A combination of oversold conditions and a weakening Dollar is helping to fuel a strong recovery rally in April Gold. After failing to attract fresh selling pressure following the break under the December bottom at $1076.50, this market formed a two-day support base before moving higher.

U.S. stock indices sold off early in the trading session as fear swept through the markets. News that Greece’s budget problems could escalate along with Portugal sent traders into the Dollar and Japanese Yen and out of higher risk assets. Lower than expected U.S. economic reports also contributed to the weakness as traders liquidated positions in anticipation of a slowdown in the economy.

The U.S. Dollar is trading flat with a slight bias to the downside after yesterday’s upbeat Fed statement and last night’s State of the Union address from President Obama.

A renewed surge in demand for yielding assets is helping to drive crude oil and gold prices overnight. A firm undertone is also developing in the equity markets while the Dollar is under pressure.

Mixed U.S. economic data fueled a choppy trade in U.S. equity markets most of the day. The markets opened higher this morning following a Gross Domestic Product Report that showed the economy had contracted less than expected. Early gains were erased, however, following a report which showed a drop in the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index.

A bigger decline than expected in weekly inventories sent December Crude Oil sharply higher on Wednesday. The rally was triggered when crude stocks fell by 8.4 million barrels to 343.6 million barrels. This news caught traders by surprise as many were trading the short side of the market following a sharply lower Chinese stock market overnight.

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