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The Euro continues to climb higher this morning, challenging the .618 retracement level of the 1.4282 to 1.2873 at 1.3744. There may be a technical bounce off this level, but this action will most likely represent profit-taking rather than a change in trend. Both technical and fundamental factors are supporting the rally at this time, so if a top is formed it will come as a surprise.

The outlook for the U.S. Dollar continues to remain bleak as traders continue to apply selling pressure in anticipation of additional Fed easing.

Crude Oil Continues Slide on Light Volume

Posted by Futureshound on September 16th, 2010

November Crude Oil continued to slide lower on Thursday on light volume. Demand for higher risk assets was down contributing to the decline.

The biggest factors driving crude oil prices lower are the slowing economy and oversupply issues.

Technically, the main trend is up on the daily chart unless the last swing bottom at 74.24 is violated.

The Australian Dollar continued its rally which started on Tuesday following hawkish comments from the Reserve Bank of Australia. The RBA’s policy statement turned around a sluggish market by stating that interest rates are likely to rise despite concerns about inflation and a possible slow down in the Chinese economy. Greater demand for higher risk assets also fueled today’s rally.

The Euro continues to post strong gains this morning after breaking through a minor retracement zone at 1.2164 to 1.2233 overnight. The main trend is down until 1.2453 is penetrated, but the daily chart indicates there is plenty of room to the upside.

Investor optimism over a resolution to the sovereign debt problem in Greece and improvements in the U.S. economy are helping to boost U.S. equity markets following a change in trend to the upside on Monday. Traders expect the trend to continue today as the charts indicate very little resistance to the upside.

U.S. equity markets are trading overnight and are expected to open slightly above near-term support. The March E-mini S&P 500 broke an uptrending Gann angle at 1132.25 which has held as support since November 27th. This is a sign of impending weakness. Short-term support is a retracement zone at 1129.00 to 1124.50.

U.S. stock indices are trading better overnight. Last night’s rally took out the recent top in the March E-mini S&P 500, reaching 1114.75. The next upside targets are 1119.00 to 1122.00. Optimism over a U.S. economic recovery is encouraging investors to seek higher yielding stocks at the expense of Treasuries and Gold.

Stronger Dollar Continues to Wreck Gold

Posted by Futureshound on December 7th, 2009

Technically overbought conditions are helping the USD JPY give back gains following a huge surge to the upside on Friday. The Dollar rallied sharply higher after better than expected U.S. jobs data pointed toward the possibility of the Fed raising rates sooner than expected.

The U.S. Dollar continued to weaken overnight against most major currencies after China announced that its manufacturing sector rose to a seasonally adjusted 55.7 last month. This growth rate was the fastest pace in five years or since the index began being tracked.

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