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This morning the GBP USD is trading lower following last week’s spectacular closing price reversal top. Based on the short-term range of 1.5345 to 1.6400, expectations are for a test of the retracement zone at 1.5873 to 1.5748.

The shedding of risky assets put downside pressure on the December E-mini S&P 500 this week, leading to the formation of a closing price reversal top. This pattern often leads to the start of a 2 to 3 week break of about 50% of the last rally. A move through 1191.50 is needed to confirm the reversal top; otherwise it could go into sideways mode.

USD JPY Confirms Weekly Reversal Bottom

Posted by Forexhound on November 13th, 2010

This week the USD JPY confirmed last week’s closing price reversal bottom with a follow-through rally to the upside. The primary catalyst behind the Dollar/Yen rally was the interest rate differential. Treasury Bond yields rose this past week while Japanese rates held steady. The increased spread helped draw investors into the Dollar.

The December E-mini S&P 500 finished lower on Thursday on light volume in a holiday driven trade. This market did make an attempt to sell-off but failed to even take out Thursday’s low at 1201.75 before selling pressure subsided.

Weekly December Gold closed higher for the week. Even though the market closed up on Friday, the closing price reversal top on Thursday is still in place, indicating a possible short-term top. While a change in trend is not indicated at this time, the closing price reversal top could be indicating the start of a substantial correction.

Gold Posts Weekly Reversal Top

Posted by Futureshound on September 11th, 2010

December Gold posted a weekly closing price reversal top, indicating the possible start of a substantial decline. This type of pattern typically indicates the start of a 2 to 3 week break equal to at least 50% of the last rally. This makes $1212.00 the next likely downside target.

The U.S. Dollar finished the week sharply higher after posting gains against all the major currencies. The catalyst behind this week’s strength was the action by the Fed to stabilize its balance sheet by shifting assets from mortgages to long-term debt. This sent a signal to already worried investors that the Fed was making room for the possibility of a prolonged downturn in the U.S. economy.

The U.S. Dollar continued to mount its strong recovery against the major currencies on Thursday. The Dollar Index rose sharply, led primarily by a strong gain in the Dollar/Yen and reasonable advances against the commodity-linked currencies.

U.S. equity markets broke sharply late in the trading session following a bearish Durable goods report this morning and a gloomy outlook for the economy according to the Fed’s Beige Book.

The Australian Dollar finished the week sharply higher. The Aussie got a boost early in the week when the Reserve Bank of Australia announced that interest rates would remain unchanged this month but that the policymakers will not hesitate to raise rates despite concerns over growth prospects in China.

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