GBP USD under Pressure Following Weekly Reversal Top
E-Mini S&P Forms Weekly Reversal Top; Move Downside Indicated.
The shedding of risky assets put downside pressure on the December E-mini S&P 500 this week, leading to the formation of a closing price reversal top. This pattern often leads to the start of a 2 to 3 week break of about 50% of the last rally. A move through 1191.50 is needed to confirm the reversal top; otherwise it could go into sideways mode.
This week the USD JPY confirmed last week’s closing price reversal bottom with a follow-through rally to the upside. The primary catalyst behind the Dollar/Yen rally was the interest rate differential. Treasury Bond yields rose this past week while Japanese rates held steady. The increased spread helped draw investors into the Dollar.
E-mini S&P 500 Finishes Lower in Light Trade; Watch for Weekly Reversal Top
Weekly December Gold closed higher for the week. Even though the market closed up on Friday, the closing price reversal top on Thursday is still in place, indicating a possible short-term top. While a change in trend is not indicated at this time, the closing price reversal top could be indicating the start of a substantial correction.
December Gold posted a weekly closing price reversal top, indicating the possible start of a substantial decline. This type of pattern typically indicates the start of a 2 to 3 week break equal to at least 50% of the last rally. This makes $1212.00 the next likely downside target.
Dollar/Yen Posts Weekly Reversal Bottom; Is Intervention Imminent?
The U.S. Dollar finished the week sharply higher after posting gains against all the major currencies. The catalyst behind this week’s strength was the action by the Fed to stabilize its balance sheet by shifting assets from mortgages to long-term debt. This sent a signal to already worried investors that the Fed was making room for the possibility of a prolonged downturn in the U.S. economy.
Dollar/Yen in Position to Post Weekly Closing Price Reversal Bottom
Stocks Wipe Out Weekly Gains; Possible Reversal Top in the Making
Aussie Weekly Close Suggests Higher Markets to Follow
The Australian Dollar finished the week sharply higher. The Aussie got a boost early in the week when the Reserve Bank of Australia announced that interest rates would remain unchanged this month but that the policymakers will not hesitate to raise rates despite concerns over growth prospects in China.