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It looks like the GBP USD survived its recent break and is now poised to move higher. The chart pattern indicates there is enough upside momentum to challenge the most recent swing top at 1.6017.

BoJ Surprise Shakes Up Forex Markets

Posted by Forexhound on October 5th, 2010

The Dollar/Yen declined in Asian trading overnight after getting an initial boost from what the Bank of Japan describes as a “comprehensive monetary easing”. Last night the BoJ unexpectedly cut its benchmark interest-rate range to between zero and 0.1% from 0.1%, and pledged to maintain its policy until prices stabilize. It also revealed it would implement a new asset-buying fund.

The December E-mini S&P continued its rally this week, bucking the seasonal tendency and pretty much assuring that September will be an up month. This index was choppy this week, but eventually bullish investors were paid off when the market rallied on Friday.

Equity futures markets are trading higher ahead of the U.S. opening after a mixed trade overnight. Asian markets finished higher, but Europe traded mostly lower. News that China’s trade surplus narrowed to $20 billion helped boost Asian equity markets.

The U.S. Dollar opened mostly lower against most majors but recovered from its early losses following a better than expected Weekly Initial Claims Report.

The USD JPY is consolidating inside the retracement zone created by the 84.73 to 86.37 range. This zone is 85.55 to 85.35. If the market can form a support base then look for it to make a run at the swing top at 86.37. Not only will a breakout over this level turn the main trend to up on the daily chart, but it will also confirm last week’s weekly closing price reversal bottom.

The USD JPY got a boost today because of the strong rally in the U.S. equity markets. A combination of friendly events fueled today’s rally which began overnight after European and Asian traders set out to satisfy their appetites for risk by supporting equities.

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U.S. Equity markets are under pressure this morning as sellers showed up after Japan reported a weak GDP figure. Treasury Bonds are trading higher in response to the possibility of a weaker global economy.

U.S. economic growth slowed during the second quarter more than economist estimates, pressuring equity markets before the opening. Expectations were for a rise of 2.5% to 2.7%. The actual GDP figure was an increase of 2.4%. Stocks fell on the news as investors shed risky assets.

U.S. stock futures are up this morning and poised to challenge the recent tops, driven by demand for higher yields and better than expected earnings reports. Stocks received a boost for the second consecutive night after Europe reported favorable economic news.

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