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Tag: reversal

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Only 5 short months ago the S&P 500 was trading at the 2011 highs around the 1,370 price level on the S&P 500 Index. Since then, the price action has devastated investors and traders alike. As of the close on Monday, the S&P 500 had worked over 270 handles lower in 5 months. The price action since September 27th has been a bloodbath.

Exploiting the power of trading Forex in the “when” zone is the best way of kicking out the speculative mindset. I’ve spent the the last three plus years, studying and tweaking this market for the ultimate Forex strategy. Knowing when a currency pair is going to take a swing or reversal, is the ultimate Forex trading method (period).

This morning the GBP USD is trading lower following last week’s spectacular closing price reversal top. Based on the short-term range of 1.5345 to 1.6400, expectations are for a test of the retracement zone at 1.5873 to 1.5748.

The Euro is trading lower after posting a high at 1.4247 on Tuesday and forming a closing price reversal top. Downside pressure overnight confirmed the chart pattern triggering what is likely to be a short-term retracement back to 1.4000 to 1.3947.

The shedding of risky assets put downside pressure on the December E-mini S&P 500 this week, leading to the formation of a closing price reversal top. This pattern often leads to the start of a 2 to 3 week break of about 50% of the last rally. A move through 1191.50 is needed to confirm the reversal top; otherwise it could go into sideways mode.

USD JPY Confirms Weekly Reversal Bottom

Posted by Forexhound on November 13th, 2010

This week the USD JPY confirmed last week’s closing price reversal bottom with a follow-through rally to the upside. The primary catalyst behind the Dollar/Yen rally was the interest rate differential. Treasury Bond yields rose this past week while Japanese rates held steady. The increased spread helped draw investors into the Dollar.

U.S. stock index futures traded sideways to lower on Wednesday after confirming Tuesday’s closing price reversal tops. The topping pattern that may be developing usually leads to a minimum 2 to 3 day break equal to 50% of the last rally.

The December E-mini S&P 500 is trading flat after posting a closing price reversal top on Tuesday. The lack of follow-through to the downside means the signal hasn’t been confirmed yet, setting up the possibility of a rally back to 1215.50.

December Gold and December Silver broke sharply after investors shed risky assets amid an impressive turnaround in the U.S. Dollar.

Technically the closing price reversal top in Gold indicates further downside pressure is likely. Based on the recent rally, expectations are for a possible correction into $1370.00 to $1357.10. Often this type of move is fast and furious and lasts 2 to 3 days.

After early session pressure, the December Treasury Bonds posted a daily closing price reversal bottom which may be an indication that it has run out of sellers.

Thursday’s action suggests that traders may have begun the process of squaring up short positions ahead of next week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

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