Only 5 short months ago the S&P 500 was trading at the 2011 highs around the 1,370 price level on the S&P 500 Index. Since then, the price action has devastated investors and traders alike. As of the close on Monday, the S&P 500 had worked over 270 handles lower in 5 months. The price action since September 27th has been a bloodbath.
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Exploiting the power of trading Forex in the “when” zone is the best way of kicking out the speculative mindset. I’ve spent the the last three plus years, studying and tweaking this market for the ultimate Forex strategy. Knowing when a currency pair is going to take a swing or reversal, is the ultimate Forex trading method (period).
GBP USD under Pressure Following Weekly Reversal Top
Closing Price Reversal Top Pattern Pressuring Euro
E-Mini S&P Forms Weekly Reversal Top; Move Downside Indicated.
The shedding of risky assets put downside pressure on the December E-mini S&P 500 this week, leading to the formation of a closing price reversal top. This pattern often leads to the start of a 2 to 3 week break of about 50% of the last rally. A move through 1191.50 is needed to confirm the reversal top; otherwise it could go into sideways mode.
This week the USD JPY confirmed last week’s closing price reversal bottom with a follow-through rally to the upside. The primary catalyst behind the Dollar/Yen rally was the interest rate differential. Treasury Bond yields rose this past week while Japanese rates held steady. The increased spread helped draw investors into the Dollar.
December Gold and December Silver broke sharply after investors shed risky assets amid an impressive turnaround in the U.S. Dollar.
Technically the closing price reversal top in Gold indicates further downside pressure is likely. Based on the recent rally, expectations are for a possible correction into $1370.00 to $1357.10. Often this type of move is fast and furious and lasts 2 to 3 days.
December Treasury Bonds Post Daily Reversal Bottom
After early session pressure, the December Treasury Bonds posted a daily closing price reversal bottom which may be an indication that it has run out of sellers.
Thursday’s action suggests that traders may have begun the process of squaring up short positions ahead of next week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting.