Stock market analysis video is posted on our website. Watch the video to get the following information. The long and short term trends were making new lows suggesting a down market. Panic in the market will lead to the testing of new lows.

Stock investors are apt to be in for a rude awakening after the 50 bps rate cut from teh Fed on Jan 30 2008. Unlike the first rate cut on Sept 18 2007 when market participants believed the fed to be ahead of the curve, no longer do so. Hence, that risk coupled with credit rating downgrades and recession like data suggest the stock market will be stress tested and heighten fears amongst investors.

Waz-zat you say? Cycles in the stock Market? Ahh, who you crappin! That ain't nuttin but Cycle-Babble to me. Shu' your mouth! Dat like saying der waz a bad moon-a-rising or some solar eclipse blotting the sun that shine over Wall Street. Oh, go on I says you don't 'xpect me to believe all that nonesuch.....

Black Swans are large impact, hard to predict rare events beyond the realm of normal expectations based on experiential knowledge. Truly, there have only been two black swan event of that proportion in the past 26 years - and that was the stock market crash in 1987 and (at least for us Americans isolated by two oceans) was the collapse of World Trade Center in September 2001.

Buffett's company mentioned they were looking at possibly buying out some distressed bond insurers. Investors took this as a sign that things must not be as bad as wall street was making them out to be for the bond insurers. Well, truly, things are as bad as wall street is making things out to be for the bond insurers. It is far too early for value investor vultures to circle the wagons.

Q4 07 Earnings from C and MER were expected to bomb so badly they could be best described as "Shock and Awe" earnings announements. Bearish Sentiment preceding these announcements were at an extreme not seen since the Oct 1990 war in Iraw that prompted a 20% correction in the stock market.

This cycle study for the SP 500 begins back on March 14 2007. On March 14 2007. Though these up and down slopes in the stock market seem rather treacherous, they do seem to have similar and recognizable features. This recognizable like-kindedness can be an ally to investors

U.S. Economic data in the first week of the New Year spelled T-R-O-U-B-L-E for both the US economy and the stock market. The December ISM report on January 2nd showed the manufacturing sector joining the housing and financial sectors already in recessionary territory.

The blowup of two Bear Stearns Hedge Funds in the second half of June was the tipping point for the stock market in 2007. Those two blowups and their announcement that there would be little or no money left to return to their investors had a direct impact on credit crunch of 2007. That event, more than any other triggered the drying up of LBO's, M&A's, and liquidity in the credit markets.