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Euro Breaks, Dollar Pares Loss against Commodity-Linked Currencies

Investor demand for higher yielding currencies pressured the Euro on Monday along with renewed debt fears in Europe.

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Greek aid plan allows Euro to pare weekly loss

The EUR USD erased some of its weekly loss as weak shorts pared their positions in the wake of positive developments out of the European Union summit. Early Friday it was announced that France and German threw their support behind a modified agreement to allow the International Monetary Fund to provide bailout money to Greece if needed.

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Net Insider Trading Loses Direction

Last month, it appeared that net insider trading transactions (the number of individual buyers minus sellers) was breaking out to the upside. It was certainly acting as a leading indicator for the end-of-year rally. Updating this for the week ending December 31, it appears that insiders have been looking to sell into market strength.

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Finding Stock Ideas: Approaches that Work

When there has been a nice market rebound, we should expect to hear the familiar refrain: It is a stock picker's market.

This wise-sounding expression means that it is no longer good enough to "buy the market" whether through index funds or market stocks. It is time for some actual analysis.

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Lloyds announce heay losses

Part-nationalised lender Lloyds Banking Group has reported pre-tax losses of £4bn for the first half of this year.

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Jobs Lost and Gained During the Recession

I haven't blogged for a while and I apologize for that because I've been busy with FX360.com and preparing for the Las Vegas Forex Traders Expo at the end of the month.

However, this is a great image that I found in the NY Times. It shows which sectors have lost the most jobs and which sectors are growing.

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DOW NASDAQ U.S.STOCKS TREND TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

DOW (8212.41) and NASDAQ (1719.20) closed 1.7% and 1.5% upBy

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4 Links I liked:

Our catalyst today is the payroll data at 8:30 am. Not much to say, other than for short term trades I remain flexible to trade either side, and if you're a long term investor (1 year+), save your money! Until the action heats up, I won't lean one way or the other...

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Thursday thoughts:

The Bank of England just made a "surprise" move, and lowered rates by 1.5%, a full point more than expected. As the central banks desperately try to reflate, in the face of market forces, I remain flexible to trade either side. Traders married to just one side cannot know whether the light at the end of the tunnel is enlightenment...

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Unintended consequences

It's surprising that Paulson and company didn't see this coming, or perhaps more disturbing, they chose to do it anyway. My bet is on the latter, as even the foolish housing speculators have figured out how to game the system. The simple fact is that our "leaders" know we are deflating...

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Marc Faber

Here's another guy whose opinions I'm always sure to listen to, Marc Faber, via Bloomberg. Pay special attention to the end of the interview on his outlook for the US balance sheet and how it ends. Over the years, I've observed who is consistently correct, and who's full of hot air...

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What has been working

The shorter hold times have served well the last few weeks. I didn't have time to update my position page yesterday, as I was in and out many times throughout the day. The only items traded are the same I've mentioned repeatedly...

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6 Months

Before I share an observation, I'll remind you that there is a huge difference between trading and investing. Furthermore, most economic analysis is useless for trading purposes. To prove the point, many predicted the global rate cut. If they are "all longed up" in stock, they will pat themselves on the back for being so brave and prescient...

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