derivatives

Before Wall Street conned investors into thinking of calendar quarters as "short-term" and single years as "long-term", market cycles were used to test investment strategies. Performance analysis was a test of management style and overall methodology, not a calendar year horse race with one of the popular averages. Bor-ing, yes--- but meaningful.

The Dark Side of investing beckons like a Siren's song, luring the majority of professional advisors away from the safety and simplicity of The QDI. Institutional propaganda, projections, predictions, and hype have the same affect on unsuspecting boatloads of speculators who most often become shipwrecked on the derivative rocks.

Richard Bookstaber, an authority on derivative trading, testified before a Congressional Committee in a hearing entitled Regulatory Reform and the Derivatives Market on June 4, 2009. Bookstaber has spent years in risk management at various institutions including Morgan Stanley, Solomon Brothers, Citigroup, Ziff Brothers Investments and Bridgewater Associates.

Community banks have largely done very well (most actually refused bail-out money)--and they're tired of being lumped together with the larger banks who took unresponsible risks.

DOW (8212.41) and NASDAQ (1719.20) closed 1.7% and 1.5% upBy

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Liquidity is to the capital markets what oil is to an engine. The engine is running out of oil. Even PPT Mobil 1 has performance limits. We are on the cusp of another critical seizure in capital flow. An event that might sink the ship.

One reads the papers and all are claiming Inflation is non existent. Well, maybe for the short run it might be. Looking back at the Great Depression of 1929 there are many similarities and inflation could rise it’s ugly head.

And the real crime is this: investors as naive as the wet-diapered E-Trade spokesbaby can push a button and buy operational hedge funds more bizarre and sophisticated than any ever imagined buy the rich and famous. If an ETF harbors a hedge fund, but doesn't call it a hedge fund, is it really not a hedge fund?

The FED and the TARP program has lent or guaranteed almost $12.8 trillion if you add it all up. Putting this into perspective this massive sum is virtually approaching the total GDP or everything produced in the US last year.

The question is are we just hearing political banter or should we believe the Chinese? Several weeks ago Premier Wen Jiabao called on March 13 for the U.S. “to guarantee the safety of China’s assets. The fact that even buying and holding US Treasuries the Chinese are losing money as their currency the Yuan has appreciated versus the US Dollar.

Meanwhile, the financial sector could be in for more punishment from short sellers. Moody's is set to cut ratings on $241 billion jumbo mortgage debt. These are not subprime loans (our dear friend which wrecked havoc on global financial institutions and claimed the scalps of Countrywide and Bear Stearns) but prime-quality U.S.

What words can describe the current situation? Fear…Dispair… Disbelief..Hopelessness…?

In less than twenty-four hours the price of Gold climbed $65 and the price of Silver $1.20. Considering the announcement by the Fed, one has to wonder why the moves were not bigger. The Fed stated it is going to “increase the size” of its balance sheet, that means it is going to put the printing presses on full octane, maximum performance.

Do you remember the statement.. It is the economy,Stupid…Maybe the same words are effecting President Obama’s approval ratings. They are slipping as Americans are worried about the economy. Obama’s approval rating slipped to 59 percent from 64 percent last month. All in all Americans still generally support Obama’s handling of the economy however more questions are cropping up.