Three Reasons the Market May Sell Off: 35 Ideas to Protect for Less
I believe a pull back [7%-15%] on the major indices is not only inevitable but necessary for a healthy market recovery. Let's face it, we've come too far too fast, and as we were oversold on the downside until early March, I believe we are currently overbought. As I was listening to Bloomberg on Sirius (NASDAQ:SIRI) over the weekend, many professionals also shared my opinion and the overall sentiment seemed to be bearish. The economy still isn't that great, in order for a real recovery to take place, I think we need to see the unemployment rate decline. With that being said it is worth to note, I think real jobs (nothing paid for by the government) are key for a recovery.
Although the market is a leading indicator for the economy, in recent times the two seem to be very disconnected. The market has got ahead of itself on better than expected economic data and company earnings; keyword is expected. Measure earnings for the previous quarter over the same period one or two years ago... When earnings return to those levels, perhaps a real recovery will be in the works. Of course there will be companies that grew, but I am referring to the majority....
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